TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029329
Played Aug 27Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1157111134111210
Josef Cabak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Josef Cabak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 85 set 5, 12-10
85 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 6–8 Josef Cabak Adrian Walek has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cabak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 2.00 / Cabak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Cabak)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029329
Walek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 87 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back34% 31 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back19% 8 of 43
Cabak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 50 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek5wins
AwayCabak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek50%3 of 6
AwayCabak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek6Cabak4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S2Walek6Cabak4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S3Walek3Cabak7n = 10Cabak took 7 of 10
S4Walek5Cabak4n = 9Walek took 5 of 9
S5Walek2Cabak3n = 5Cabak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekCabakW − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.042.7−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekCabakBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 433 vs 98 / 18350.6%53.6%219 / 433 vs 98 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakWalek 2.00/Cabak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 08:30A. Walek—11115382J. Cabak—981111113
LAug 25 · 09:00A. Walek—1412691J. Cabak—121411113
LAug 25 · 07:00A. Walek—7970J. Cabak—1111113
WAug 14 · 13:30A. Walek—111111113J. Cabak—913751
WAug 14 · 12:00A. Walek—413113113J. Cabak—111171142
LJul 13 · 09:30A. Walek—6131011102J. Cabak—1111123123
WJul 13 · 08:00A. Walek—611911113J. Cabak—11611782
LJul 10 · 06:30A. Walek—1111612112J. Cabak—691114133
WJul 3 · 08:30A. Walek—11115113J. Cabak—861181
WJul 1 · 11:00A. Walek—14812113J. Cabak—12111071
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
J. Cabak10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113WAug 25 · 07:00J. Cabak1.801111113A. Walek1.917970
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