TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082802
Played Sep 5Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2111113811––––
Marek Bereiter
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Marek Bereiter below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 2–1 Marek Bereiter Marek Bereiter has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bereiter form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.85 / Bereiter 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Walek)+4.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082802
Walek1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 89 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Bereiter1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 13 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWalek2wins
AwayBereiter1wins
Walek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek2Bereiter1n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
S2Walek2Bereiter1n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
S3Walek3Bereiter0n = 3Walek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWalekBereiterW − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.730.0+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekBereiterBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 442 vs 33 / 6051.1%55%226 / 442 vs 33 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekWalek 1.85/Bereiter 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bereiter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek—1112113M. Bereiter—81070
LApr 8 · 17:00A. Walek—4611101M. Bereiter—11116123
WApr 8 · 14:30A. Walek—1111113M. Bereiter—9880
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071
M. Bereiter10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113
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