TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065432
Played Sep 3Finished
Daniel Unzeitig
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811611––––
Marek Bereiter
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Unzeitig to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Marek Bereiter below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Unzeitig at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 1–2 Marek Bereiter Daniel Unzeitig has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bereiter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1641 vs Bereiter 1651
Bereiter
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 80% vs Bereiter 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 40% vs Bereiter 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig +4 · Bereiter +2
Unzeitig
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bereiter) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bereiter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 1.83 / Bereiter 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bereiter)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065432
Unzeitig1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Bereiter1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUnzeitig1wins
AwayBereiter2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBereiter leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig2Bereiter1n = 3Unzeitig took 2 of 3
S2Unzeitig1Bereiter2n = 3Bereiter took 2 of 3
S3Unzeitig2Bereiter1n = 3Unzeitig took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricUnzeitigBereiterU − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.736.0+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigBereiterBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 285 vs 29 / 5346.7%54.7%133 / 285 vs 29 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BereiterUnzeitig 1.83/Bereiter 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bereiter · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bereiter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 23 · 15:30D. Unzeitig—108111162M. Bereiter—121149113
LJul 21 · 06:00D. Unzeitig—117571M. Bereiter—71111113
WJul 20 · 08:00D. Unzeitig—1112113M. Bereiter—61050
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig2.207980M. Holub1.611111113LAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek1.571511113D. Unzeitig2.2513730LAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132
M. Bereiter10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113
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