TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030171
Played Aug 28Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119114––––
Daniel Unzeitig
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 72.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Holubec 7–3 Daniel Unzeitig Daniel Unzeitig has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Holubec
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1700 vs Unzeitig 1616
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 80% vs Unzeitig 0%
Holubec
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 60% vs Unzeitig 20%
Holubec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec -1 · Unzeitig -5
Unzeitig
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.67 / Unzeitig 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Holubec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030171
Holubec1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Unzeitig2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolubec7wins
AwayUnzeitig3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHolubec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolubec80%4 of 5
AwayUnzeitig40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holubec5Unzeitig5n = 10split evenly
S2Holubec6Unzeitig4n = 10Holubec took 6 of 10
S3Holubec6Unzeitig4n = 10Holubec took 6 of 10
S4Holubec2Unzeitig4n = 6Unzeitig took 4 of 6
S5Holubec4Unzeitig0n = 4Holubec took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubecUnzeitigH − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.5+4.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 83 vs 132 / 28448.2%46.5%40 / 83 vs 132 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecHolubec 1.67/Unzeitig 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec—1111113D. Unzeitig—6940
WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec—811119113D. Unzeitig—11481132
WJul 13 · 15:00J. Holubec—2211113D. Unzeitig—20490
WMay 25 · 17:00J. Holubec—1011911113D. Unzeitig—12411992
WMay 25 · 15:00J. Holubec—1111123D. Unzeitig—78100
LApr 27 · 15:00J. Holubec—911681D. Unzeitig—11811113
WApr 26 · 16:58J. Holubec—361116113D. Unzeitig—111171492
WApr 26 · 14:30J. Holubec—1115117113D. Unzeitig—91771152
LApr 25 · 14:30J. Holubec—11710101D. Unzeitig—31112123
LMar 27 · 17:30J. Holubec—12980D. Unzeitig—1411113
J. Holubec10
LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881WAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig2.207980M. Holub1.611111113LAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek1.571511113D. Unzeitig2.2513730LAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132
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