TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13004405
Played Aug 24Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513117113––––
Daniel Unzeitig
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 60 set 3, 11-3
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 4–1 Daniel Unzeitig Daniel Unzeitig has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Simecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.57 / Unzeitig 2.25
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Simecek)+10.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13004405
Simecek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 81 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it72% 54 of 75
Unzeitig2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSimecek4wins
AwayUnzeitig1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSimecek leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUnzeitig33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek2Unzeitig3n = 5Unzeitig took 3 of 5
S2Simecek4Unzeitig1n = 5Simecek took 4 of 5
S3Simecek4Unzeitig1n = 5Simecek took 4 of 5
S4Simecek1Unzeitig3n = 4Unzeitig took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSimecekUnzeitigS − UBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match42.041.8+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 279 vs 129 / 27852.3%46.4%146 / 279 vs 129 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.57/Unzeitig 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 24 · 14:30J. Simecek—1111113D. Unzeitig—7850
WAug 23 · 14:00J. Simecek—11511133D. Unzeitig—9119111
LAug 9 · 09:29J. Simecek—1411671D. Unzeitig—16711113
WAug 9 · 08:00J. Simecek—912127143D. Unzeitig—11101011122
WAug 2 · 14:00J. Simecek—2111110113D. Unzeitig—11991292
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig2.207980M. Holub1.611111113LAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132
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