TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030164
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118911811––
Daniel Unzeitig
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 77.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 5–1 Daniel Unzeitig Daniel Unzeitig has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Simecek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1687 vs Unzeitig 1575
Simecek
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 60% vs Unzeitig 0%
Simecek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 50% vs Unzeitig 10%
Simecek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek -2 · Unzeitig -5
Unzeitig
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.44 / Unzeitig 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Simecek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030164
Simecek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Unzeitig2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSimecek5wins
AwayUnzeitig1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSimecek leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek100%3 of 3
AwayUnzeitig33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek3Unzeitig3n = 6split evenly
S2Simecek5Unzeitig1n = 6Simecek took 5 of 6
S3Simecek5Unzeitig1n = 6Simecek took 5 of 6
S4Simecek1Unzeitig3n = 4Unzeitig took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSimecekUnzeitigS − UBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.238.7+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 286 vs 129 / 28152.8%45.9%151 / 286 vs 129 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.44/Unzeitig 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek—1511113D. Unzeitig—13730
WAug 24 · 14:30J. Simecek—1111113D. Unzeitig—7850
WAug 23 · 14:00J. Simecek—11511133D. Unzeitig—9119111
LAug 9 · 09:29J. Simecek—1411671D. Unzeitig—16711113
WAug 9 · 08:00J. Simecek—912127143D. Unzeitig—11101011122
WAug 2 · 14:00J. Simecek—2111110113D. Unzeitig—11991292
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig2.207980M. Holub1.611111113LAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek1.571511113D. Unzeitig2.2513730LAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.