TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030155
Played Aug 28Finished
Daniel Unzeitig
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911811––––
Marek Holub
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Holub to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Marek Holub at 58.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 8–13 Marek Holub Daniel Unzeitig has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:16What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Holub
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Holub
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1616 vs Holub 1604
Unzeitig
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 0% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 10% vs Holub 50%
Holub
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig -5 · Holub +1
Unzeitig
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 2.20 / Holub 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Holub)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030155
Unzeitig2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Holub1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 38 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUnzeitig3wins
AwayHolub7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUnzeitig40%2 of 5
AwayHolub80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S2Unzeitig4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S3Unzeitig4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Unzeitig3Holub3n = 6split evenly
S5Unzeitig1Holub4n = 5Holub took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUnzeitigHolubU − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.7−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 284 vs 139 / 29646.5%47%132 / 284 vs 139 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubUnzeitig 2.20/Holub 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig—7980M. Holub—1111113
LAug 17 · 16:59D. Unzeitig—4690M. Holub—1111113
WAug 17 · 16:30D. Unzeitig—1111113M. Holub—5860
LAug 7 · 14:30D. Unzeitig—8960M. Holub—1111113
LJul 13 · 14:00D. Unzeitig—111291052M. Holub—4101112113
WJun 30 · 15:00D. Unzeitig—1461113113M. Holub—1211131182
LJun 24 · 21:00D. Unzeitig—11711782M. Holub—711911113
LJun 24 · 20:00D. Unzeitig—81111472M. Holub—117911113
LJun 24 · 17:00D. Unzeitig—11441172M. Holub—611115113
WJun 24 · 16:30D. Unzeitig—101911113M. Holub—1217411
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek1.571511113D. Unzeitig2.2513730LAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113
Upcoming Matches
D. Unzeitig
Nothing scheduled
M. Holub
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