TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065089
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Kypr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41110121113––––
Marek Holub
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 55.8%
61 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 1–1 Marek Holub Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kypr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kypr 1645 vs Holub 1663
Holub
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kypr 60% vs Holub 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kypr 70% vs Holub 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kypr -1 · Holub -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 1.80 / Holub 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kypr)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065089
Kypr1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Holub1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 74 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKypr1wins
AwayHolub1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKyprHolubK − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.029.00.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 93 vs 148 / 31052.7%47.7%49 / 93 vs 148 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprKypr 1.80/Holub 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr—410110M. Holub—1112133
WAug 14 · 15:30T. Kypr—1111113M. Holub—5890
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113WSep 1 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.61141050M. Holub2.201612113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kypr
Nothing scheduled
M. Holub
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