TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059631
Played Sep 2Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117311211––
Marek Holub
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 65 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 58.5%
65 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 17–16 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hudeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-16 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1635 vs Holub 1632
Hudeczek
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 60% vs Holub 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 40% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek -1 · Holub +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.61 / Holub 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059631
Hudeczek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 69 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Holub2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek6wins
AwayHolub4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek100%5 of 5
AwayHolub80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S2Hudeczek8Holub2n = 10Hudeczek took 8 of 10
S3Hudeczek5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S4Hudeczek2Holub3n = 5Holub took 3 of 5
S5Hudeczek2Holub1n = 3Hudeczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekHolubHudeczek − HolubBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.637.8−0.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 329 vs 145 / 30648.3%47.4%159 / 329 vs 145 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.61/Holub 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—141050M. Holub—1612113
WAug 17 · 14:00R. Hudeczek—711614123M. Holub—1191112102
WJul 29 · 17:28R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—8870
LJul 29 · 14:30R. Hudeczek—711651M. Holub—11711113
WJul 26 · 21:12R. Hudeczek—1111127113M. Holub—99141172
WJul 26 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—9970
LJul 24 · 21:30R. Hudeczek—116111152M. Holub—131189113
LJul 24 · 20:00R. Hudeczek—1012761M. Holub—121011113
WJul 24 · 16:30R. Hudeczek—1113143M. Holub—611120
WJun 29 · 19:30R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—6980
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113WSep 1 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.61141050M. Holub2.201612113
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