TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071640
Played Sep 4Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911117113––
Lukas Kern
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeLukas Kern to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 74 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Lukas Kern at 55.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 14–9 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kern
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Hudeczek
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1686 vs Kern 1560
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 40% vs Kern 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 40% vs Kern 20%
Hudeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek +1 · Kern +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kern) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kern form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 2.00 / Kern 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kern)+0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071640
Hudeczek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 60 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back34% 24 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back22% 8 of 36
Kern1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek6wins
AwayKern4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek80%4 of 5
AwayKern60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek5Kern5n = 10split evenly
S2Hudeczek7Kern3n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S3Hudeczek4Kern6n = 10Kern took 6 of 10
S4Hudeczek4Kern4n = 8split evenly
S5Hudeczek2Kern1n = 3Hudeczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekKernH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.90.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekKernBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 337 vs 132 / 25248.7%52.4%164 / 337 vs 132 / 252Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KernHudeczek 2.00/Kern 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Kern · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 18:00R. Hudeczek—1311113L. Kern—11790
WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek—12911113L. Kern—1011731
LAug 26 · 21:00R. Hudeczek—141188102L. Kern—1261111123
WAug 26 · 20:00R. Hudeczek—11114113L. Kern—771191
LAug 16 · 12:00R. Hudeczek—86100L. Kern—1111123
WJul 29 · 15:00R. Hudeczek—61117113L. Kern—1181551
WJul 24 · 18:30R. Hudeczek—111137153L. Kern—991111132
WJul 24 · 17:30R. Hudeczek—8111211113L. Kern—11614662
LJul 24 · 14:00R. Hudeczek—911291L. Kern—11711113
LJun 30 · 20:30R. Hudeczek—5121241L. Kern—111410113
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192WSep 1 · 20:58R. Urbaniec1.4482100L. Kern2.631111123LSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571LSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113
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