TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078482
Played Sep 4Finished
Lukas Kern
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111121151012911
Michal Chalupa
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLukas Kern above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-10
Point 85 set 5, 8-10
85 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukas Kern 9–10 Michal Chalupa Lukas Kern has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 2.00 / Chalupa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chalupa)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078482
Kern2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Chalupa1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 128 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 85 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKern5wins
AwayChalupa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKern66.7%4 of 6
AwayChalupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kern6Chalupa4n = 10Kern took 6 of 10
S2Kern3Chalupa7n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S3Kern5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly
S4Kern4Chalupa4n = 8split evenly
S5Kern3Chalupa2n = 5Kern took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKernChalupaK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.8+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 249 vs 372 / 70952.6%52.5%131 / 249 vs 372 / 709Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaKern 2.00/Chalupa 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 12:00L. Kern—1111118113M. Chalupa—97131192
LAug 26 · 19:30L. Kern—4990M. Chalupa—1111113
WAug 19 · 20:00L. Kern—1111113M. Chalupa—6990
LAug 13 · 21:30L. Kern—13711892M. Chalupa—1111511113
WAug 13 · 18:00L. Kern—11711113M. Chalupa—311291
WAug 11 · 20:30L. Kern—1411911113M. Chalupa—16511852
LAug 11 · 14:30L. Kern—981191M. Chalupa—11117113
WAug 8 · 14:00L. Kern—117911123M. Chalupa—511118102
LAug 7 · 14:00L. Kern—121191162M. Chalupa—1013119113
LJul 30 · 20:30L. Kern—6512101M. Chalupa—111110123
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192WSep 1 · 20:58R. Urbaniec1.4482100L. Kern2.631111123LSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571LSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113
M. Chalupa10
LSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113LSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481LSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113WSep 3 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.52119114113Z. Pagac2.3561181162WSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.63811411102M. Chalupa1.44118118123
Upcoming Matches
L. Kern
Nothing scheduled
M. Chalupa
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