TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13067246
Played Sep 2Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116116––––
Roman Hudeczek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 56.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 12–11 Roman Hudeczek Roman Hudeczek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1667 vs Hudeczek 1623
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 20% vs Hudeczek 40%
Hudeczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Hudeczek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Hudeczek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.61 / Hudeczek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13067246
Urbaniec1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 198 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it93% 99 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it77% 134 of 175
Hudeczek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 60 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back21% 7 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec5wins
AwayHudeczek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec28.6%2 of 7
AwayHudeczek0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec7Hudeczek3n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S3Urbaniec3Hudeczek7n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S4Urbaniec4Hudeczek5n = 9Hudeczek took 5 of 9
S5Urbaniec2Hudeczek1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecHudeczekU − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.1−1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime604 / 1187 vs 159 / 33050.9%48.2%604 / 1187 vs 159 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.61/Hudeczek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 13:29R. Urbaniec—11911113R. Hudeczek—711771
LAug 4 · 12:00R. Urbaniec—116771R. Hudeczek—51111113
LAug 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec—11111482R. Hudeczek—871111113
WAug 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec—511811113R. Hudeczek—11911882
WJan 22 · 19:00R. Urbaniec—61111173R. Hudeczek—1189151
WJan 10 · 22:04R. Urbaniec—911411113R. Hudeczek—11711542
LJan 10 · 19:30R. Urbaniec—117841R. Hudeczek—91111113
WDec 28 · 08:00R. Urbaniec—1114123R. Hudeczek—412100
LDec 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec—11812101R. Hudeczek—91114123
LJun 23 · 18:30R. Urbaniec—1141261R. Hudeczek—51114113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192LSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
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R. Hudeczek
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