TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052621
Played Sep 1Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
14161012511––––
Marek Holub
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 68 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 57.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 17–15 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:46What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hudeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Hudeczek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1629 vs Holub 1616
Hudeczek
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 20% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 40% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek -2 · Holub +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.61 / Holub 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052621
Hudeczek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Holub2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek7wins
AwayHolub3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek100%6 of 6
AwayHolub75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek6Holub4n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S2Hudeczek9Holub1n = 10Hudeczek took 9 of 10
S3Hudeczek5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S4Hudeczek2Holub4n = 6Holub took 4 of 6
S5Hudeczek3Holub1n = 4Hudeczek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekHolubHudeczek − HolubBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.139.3+0.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 324 vs 142 / 30148.2%47.2%156 / 324 vs 142 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.61/Holub 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 14:00R. Hudeczek—711614123M. Holub—1191112102
WJul 29 · 17:28R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—8870
LJul 29 · 14:30R. Hudeczek—711651M. Holub—11711113
WJul 26 · 21:12R. Hudeczek—1111127113M. Holub—99141172
WJul 26 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—9970
LJul 24 · 21:30R. Hudeczek—116111152M. Holub—131189113
LJul 24 · 20:00R. Hudeczek—1012761M. Holub—121011113
WJul 24 · 16:30R. Hudeczek—1113143M. Holub—611120
WJun 29 · 19:30R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—6980
WJun 26 · 20:59R. Hudeczek—1411135113M. Holub—128151182
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113
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