TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030159
Played Aug 28Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131210113––––
Jakub Simecek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 50 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 58.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 8–3 Jakub Simecek Jakub Simecek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Martinak
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1676 vs Simecek 1613
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Simecek 0%
Martinak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 50% vs Simecek 30%
Martinak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -2 · Simecek -5
Simecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.83 / Simecek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030159
Martinak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Simecek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak7wins
AwaySimecek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMartinak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak100%4 of 4
AwaySimecek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak4Simecek6n = 10Simecek took 6 of 10
S2Martinak4Simecek6n = 10Simecek took 6 of 10
S3Martinak5Simecek5n = 10split evenly
S4Martinak4Simecek2n = 6Martinak took 4 of 6
S5Martinak4Simecek0n = 4Martinak took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakSimecekM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.7+5.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 258 vs 151 / 29053.5%52.1%138 / 258 vs 151 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.83/Simecek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak—1112113J. Simecek—31030
LAug 27 · 09:30L. Martinak—910100J. Simecek—1112123
WAug 27 · 06:00L. Martinak—91111113J. Simecek—114961
LAug 26 · 08:00L. Martinak—8950J. Simecek—1111113
WAug 15 · 21:30L. Martinak—1111118123J. Simecek—681311102
WAug 15 · 18:00L. Martinak—111211113J. Simecek—5101361
WAug 9 · 07:00L. Martinak—9111111113J. Simecek—11135132
LAug 3 · 06:00L. Martinak—6670J. Simecek—1111113
WJul 11 · 20:59L. Martinak—761411113J. Simecek—111112632
WJul 11 · 18:00L. Martinak—116113113J. Simecek—71111122
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113
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