TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13066217
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911115411119
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 55.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 3–5 Jaroslav Schwan Lukas Martinak has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (50%)
Schwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Schwan
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1661 vs Schwan 1614
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Schwan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 60% vs Schwan 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +1 · Schwan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.80 / Schwan 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Schwan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13066217
Martinak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Schwan1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMartinak3wins
AwaySchwan5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSchwan leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak66.7%2 of 3
AwaySchwan80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak3Schwan5n = 8Schwan took 5 of 8
S2Martinak6Schwan2n = 8Martinak took 6 of 8
S3Martinak1Schwan7n = 8Schwan took 7 of 8
S4Martinak5Schwan3n = 8Martinak took 5 of 8
S5Martinak1Schwan2n = 3Schwan took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMartinakSchwanM − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.142.6−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 266 vs 122 / 25753.8%47.5%143 / 266 vs 122 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanMartinak 1.80/Schwan 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak—41111113J. Schwan—116691
WMay 1 · 20:30L. Martinak—1241111113J. Schwan—101113852
LApr 16 · 14:30L. Martinak—211981J. Schwan—11511113
LMar 19 · 10:30L. Martinak—1178101J. Schwan—91111123
LMar 19 · 08:30L. Martinak—131191182J. Schwan—157119113
WJan 9 · 20:30L. Martinak—11116113J. Schwan—971181
LSep 22 · 13:30L. Martinak—711211102J. Schwan—117116123
LSep 22 · 11:30L. Martinak—515361J. Schwan—111311113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142
J. Schwan10
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak1.8341111113J. Schwan1.83116691LAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113WAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162WAug 25 · 19:00J. Schwan1.501119123D. Langer2.50917100
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