TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058140
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411116116119––
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 60.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 2–5 Jaroslav Schwan Lukas Martinak has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Schwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Schwan
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1646 vs Schwan 1590
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Schwan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 40% vs Schwan 70%
Schwan
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +1 · Schwan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.83 / Schwan 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058140
Martinak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Schwan1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMartinak2wins
AwaySchwan5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSchwan leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak66.7%2 of 3
AwaySchwan100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak3Schwan4n = 7Schwan took 4 of 7
S2Martinak5Schwan2n = 7Martinak took 5 of 7
S3Martinak0Schwan7n = 7Schwan took 7 of 7
S4Martinak4Schwan3n = 7Martinak took 4 of 7
S5Martinak1Schwan2n = 3Schwan took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMartinakSchwanM − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.444.1−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 263 vs 120 / 25453.6%47.2%141 / 263 vs 120 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.83/Schwan 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 1 · 20:30L. Martinak—1241111113J. Schwan—101113852
LApr 16 · 14:30L. Martinak—211981J. Schwan—11511113
LMar 19 · 10:30L. Martinak—1178101J. Schwan—91111123
LMar 19 · 08:30L. Martinak—131191182J. Schwan—157119113
WJan 9 · 20:30L. Martinak—11116113J. Schwan—971181
LSep 22 · 13:30L. Martinak—711211102J. Schwan—117116123
LSep 22 · 11:30L. Martinak—515361J. Schwan—111311113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
J. Schwan10
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113WAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162WAug 25 · 19:00J. Schwan1.501119123D. Langer2.50917100
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