TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030027
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Hutnik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Jakub Simecek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:40 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hutnik above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 60.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hutnik 2–1 Jakub Simecek Jakub Simecek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hutnik 1756 vs Simecek 1622
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hutnik 60% vs Simecek 0%
Hutnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hutnik 60% vs Simecek 30%
Hutnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hutnik +3 · Simecek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHutnik 1.50 / Simecek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hutnik)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030027
Hutnik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Simecek2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 39 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back24% 6 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHutnik2wins
AwaySimecek1wins
Hutnik leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hutnik2Simecek1n = 3Hutnik took 2 of 3
S2Hutnik3Simecek0n = 3Hutnik took 3 of 3
S3Hutnik1Simecek2n = 3Simecek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHutnikSimecekH − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.036.0+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHutnikSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 38 vs 151 / 29063.2%52.1%24 / 38 vs 151 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikHutnik 1.50/Simecek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik—8111331J. Simecek—11815113
WAug 26 · 09:29J. Hutnik—151111113J. Simecek—1391361
WAug 26 · 07:30J. Hutnik—1112113J. Simecek—51070
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113WAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
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