TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020135
Played Aug 27Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151113118611118
Jakub Hutnik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:15 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Jakub Hutnik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 60.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 1–0 Jakub Hutnik Jakub Hutnik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:15What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1700 vs Hutnik 1752
Hutnik
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Hutnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 60% vs Hutnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +2 · Hutnik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 2.10 / Hutnik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hutnik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020135
Martinak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 36 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Hutnik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 11 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartinak1wins
AwayHutnik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMartinak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMartinakHutnikM − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.038.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakHutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 253 vs 21 / 3453.8%61.8%136 / 253 vs 21 / 34Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikMartinak 2.10/Hutnik 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 26 · 06:30L. Martinak—1111711113J. Hutnik—47111332
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.