TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030365
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Hutnik
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210115––––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hutnik above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 58 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 65.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hutnik 5–1 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Hutnik
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hutnik 1830 vs Byrtus 1662
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hutnik 100% vs Byrtus 80%
Hutnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hutnik 70% vs Byrtus 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hutnik +5 · Byrtus +2
Hutnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHutnik 1.40 / Byrtus 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Hutnik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030365
Hutnik1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Byrtus2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 74 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHutnik5wins
AwayByrtus1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderHutnik leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHutnik100%4 of 4
AwayByrtusn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hutnik4Byrtus2n = 6Hutnik took 4 of 6
S2Hutnik4Byrtus2n = 6Hutnik took 4 of 6
S3Hutnik6Byrtus0n = 6Hutnik took 6 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home467%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHutnikByrtusH − BBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.729.3+6.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHutnikByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 44 vs 298 / 58068.2%51.4%30 / 44 vs 298 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikHutnik 1.40/Byrtus 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik—1111113S. Byrtus—4680
WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik—1112113S. Byrtus—91050
WAug 14 · 08:00J. Hutnik—1511113S. Byrtus—13970
WAug 13 · 11:00J. Hutnik—1111113S. Byrtus—4880
LAug 13 · 09:00J. Hutnik—671141S. Byrtus—11118113
WAug 13 · 07:00J. Hutnik—881111113S. Byrtus—11115982
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680
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