TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030211
Played Aug 28Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Jakub Hutnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Jakub Hutnik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 56.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 0–1 Jakub Hutnik Dalimil Machander has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1592 vs Hutnik 1804
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Hutnik 100%
Hutnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 40% vs Hutnik 70%
Hutnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -2 · Hutnik +5
Hutnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hutnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hutnik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 2.00 / Hutnik 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Hutnik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030211
Machander2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back37% 35 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back18% 9 of 51
Hutnik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMachander0wins
AwayHutnik1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHutnik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMachanderHutnikM − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.046.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderHutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 325 vs 28 / 4247.7%66.7%155 / 325 vs 28 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikMachander 2.00/Hutnik 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 17 · 18:30D. Machander—61111522J. Hutnik—116711113
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
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