TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030146
Played Aug 28Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811911––––
Jakub Hutnik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Jakub Hutnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 55.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 2–2 Jakub Hutnik Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1650 vs Hutnik 1830
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 20% vs Hutnik 100%
Hutnik
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 40% vs Hutnik 70%
Hutnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -2 · Hutnik +5
Hutnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hutnik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 2.10 / Hutnik 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hutnik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030146
Martinak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 38 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Hutnik1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartinak2wins
AwayHutnik2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak2Hutnik2n = 4split evenly
S2Martinak2Hutnik2n = 4split evenly
S3Martinak1Hutnik3n = 4Hutnik took 3 of 4
S4Martinak0Hutnik3n = 3Hutnik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartinakHutnikM − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.539.2+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakHutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 263 vs 30 / 4453.2%68.2%140 / 263 vs 30 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikMartinak 2.10/Hutnik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak—9890J. Hutnik—1111113
LAug 28 · 10:00L. Martinak—911741J. Hutnik—11811113
WAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak—1111116113J. Hutnik—51381182
WAug 26 · 06:30L. Martinak—1111711113J. Hutnik—47111332
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
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