TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020134
Played Aug 27Finished
Jakub Hutnik
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111181315311––
Jakub Simecek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:18 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Hutnik above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 80 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 56.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hutnik 3–1 Jakub Simecek Jakub Simecek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Hutnik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hutnik 1830 vs Simecek 1627
Hutnik
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hutnik 60% vs Simecek 40%
Hutnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hutnik 70% vs Simecek 40%
Hutnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hutnik -1 · Simecek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hutnik form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHutnik 1.36 / Simecek 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Hutnik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020134
Hutnik1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 20 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Simecek3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 40 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back22% 6 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHutnik3wins
AwaySimecek1wins
Hutnik leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHutnik100%3 of 3
AwaySimecekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hutnik3Simecek1n = 4Hutnik took 3 of 4
S2Hutnik4Simecek0n = 4Hutnik took 4 of 4
S3Hutnik2Simecek2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHutnikSimecekH − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.532.0+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHutnikSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 44 vs 152 / 29268.2%52.1%30 / 44 vs 152 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikHutnik 1.36/Simecek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik—1111113J. Simecek—6950
LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik—8111331J. Simecek—11815113
WAug 26 · 09:29J. Hutnik—151111113J. Simecek—1391361
WAug 26 · 07:30J. Hutnik—1112113J. Simecek—51070
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113
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