TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035839
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Hutnik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116113113––
Tomas Petrek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hutnik above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 62 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 61.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hutnik 3–1 Tomas Petrek Tomas Petrek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Hutnik
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hutnik 1766 vs Petrek 1657
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hutnik 80% vs Petrek 40%
Hutnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hutnik 70% vs Petrek 40%
Hutnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hutnik +4 · Petrek +1
Hutnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hutnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHutnik 1.50 / Petrek 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hutnik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035839
Hutnik1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Petrek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 27 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHutnik3wins
AwayPetrek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderHutnik leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHutnik100%3 of 3
AwayPetrekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hutnik3Petrek1n = 4Hutnik took 3 of 4
S2Hutnik2Petrek2n = 4split evenly
S3Hutnik4Petrek0n = 4Hutnik took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHutnikPetrekH − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.531.8+8.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHutnikPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 39 vs 118 / 22764.1%52%25 / 39 vs 118 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikHutnik 1.50/Petrek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 28 · 11:30J. Hutnik—1111113T. Petrek—6690
WAug 27 · 09:00J. Hutnik—121011113T. Petrek—1012491
LAug 27 · 06:30J. Hutnik—512111182T. Petrek—111465113
WAug 26 · 08:30J. Hutnik—1116113T. Petrek—51450
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
T. Petrek10
WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113LAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek1.91681111102L. Martinak1.80111169123
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