TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029463
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Hutnik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811117114––
Lukas Martinak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Hutnik above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 55.6%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hutnik 0–2 Lukas Martinak Jakub Hutnik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hutnik 1733 vs Martinak 1673
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hutnik 40% vs Martinak 60%
Martinak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hutnik 50% vs Martinak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hutnik +1 · Martinak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHutnik 1.67 / Martinak 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hutnik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029463
Hutnik1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Martinak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 38 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHutnik0wins
AwayMartinak2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderMartinak leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHutnikMartinakH − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.550.5−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHutnikMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 36 vs 137 / 25561.1%53.7%22 / 36 vs 137 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikHutnik 1.67/Martinak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 08:30J. Hutnik—51381182L. Martinak—1111116113
LAug 26 · 06:30J. Hutnik—47111332L. Martinak—1111711113
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182LAug 27 · 07:30J. Hutnik1.368111331J. Simecek3.0011815113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162LAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 27 · 08:30L. Martinak2.101111116113J. Hutnik1.6751381182
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