TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030202
Played Aug 28Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71113118111113––
Tomas Petrek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 85 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 55.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 11–8 Tomas Petrek Tomas Petrek has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Martinak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1689 vs Petrek 1644
Martinak
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Petrek 20%
Martinak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 60% vs Petrek 30%
Martinak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +1 · Petrek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.73 / Petrek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030202
Martinak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 45 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Petrek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 27 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak5wins
AwayPetrek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak62.5%5 of 8
AwayPetrekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak8Petrek2n = 10Martinak took 8 of 10
S2Martinak7Petrek3n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S3Martinak2Petrek8n = 10Petrek took 8 of 10
S4Martinak4Petrek4n = 8split evenly
S5Martinak1Petrek3n = 4Petrek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakPetrekM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.8+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 257 vs 117 / 22653.7%51.8%138 / 257 vs 117 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.73/Petrek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak—11115113T. Petrek—381191
LAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak—101040T. Petrek—1212113
WAug 26 · 07:00L. Martinak—111169123T. Petrek—681111102
WJul 31 · 21:29L. Martinak—11119123T. Petrek—4811101
LJul 31 · 19:00L. Martinak—11971192T. Petrek—711114113
WJul 30 · 20:59L. Martinak—1111123T. Petrek—58100
LJul 30 · 19:00L. Martinak—91111642T. Petrek—117811113
LJul 17 · 09:00L. Martinak—115751T. Petrek—81111113
WJul 17 · 07:00L. Martinak—11118113T. Petrek—651181
LJul 16 · 06:00L. Martinak—11117782T. Petrek—591111113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113LAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek1.91681111102L. Martinak1.80111169123
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