TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052422
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1173111012116711
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 56.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 0–1 Samuel Byrtus Lukas Martinak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1646 vs Byrtus 1661
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Byrtus 40%
Martinak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 40% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -1 · Byrtus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.83 / Byrtus 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052422
Martinak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Byrtus1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartinak0wins
AwayByrtus1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderByrtus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMartinakByrtusM − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.045.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 263 vs 303 / 58653.6%51.7%141 / 263 vs 303 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusMartinak 1.83/Byrtus 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 28 · 16:00L. Martinak—911101142S. Byrtus—114127113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133LAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121
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