TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047703
Played Aug 31Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81114161113––––
David Heczko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 73 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 22–22 David Heczko Dead even across their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-22 in 44
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1668 vs Heczko 1645
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus -1 · Heczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 1.91 / Heczko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Byrtus)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047703
Byrtus1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 74 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Heczko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 103 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeByrtus6wins
AwayHeczko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeByrtus83.3%5 of 6
AwayHeczko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus6Heczko4n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10
S2Byrtus7Heczko3n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S3Byrtus4Heczko6n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Byrtus5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S5Byrtus2Heczko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricByrtusHeczkoB − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.941.8+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 582 vs 254 / 45851.7%55.5%301 / 582 vs 254 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusByrtus 1.91/Heczko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 09:30S. Byrtus—111164153D. Heczko—861111132
LAug 27 · 08:00S. Byrtus—111161072D. Heczko—961112113
WAug 25 · 09:30S. Byrtus—11511113D. Heczko—811791
WAug 25 · 07:30S. Byrtus—111310113D. Heczko—6111271
LAug 23 · 12:00S. Byrtus—551181D. Heczko—11116113
WAug 21 · 10:00S. Byrtus—101111113D. Heczko—123691
WAug 19 · 09:04S. Byrtus—1181012143D. Heczko—7111210122
LAug 19 · 06:30S. Byrtus—101214742D. Heczko—12101211113
LAug 12 · 24:30S. Byrtus—1311851D. Heczko—15611113
WAug 10 · 21:30S. Byrtus—111110113D. Heczko—841251
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
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