TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058301
Played Sep 2Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211119611611––
Daniel Langer
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 61.5%
67 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 2–1 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1668 vs Langer 1545
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 80% vs Langer 40%
Byrtus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 60% vs Langer 30%
Byrtus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus +2 · Langer -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 1.73 / Langer 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Byrtus)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058301
Byrtus1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 92 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Langer2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeByrtus2wins
AwayLanger1wins
Byrtus leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus1Langer2n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S2Byrtus2Langer1n = 3Byrtus took 2 of 3
S3Byrtus2Langer1n = 3Byrtus took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricByrtusLangerB − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.328.0+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 584 vs 92 / 13551.9%68.2%303 / 584 vs 92 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusByrtus 1.73/Langer 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 31 · 09:07S. Byrtus—1111113D. Langer—4980
WAug 31 · 06:00S. Byrtus—101111113D. Langer—128281
LAug 26 · 10:30S. Byrtus—4770D. Langer—1111113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133LAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113
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