TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481089
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811118118––
Tomas Kypr
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:44 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 63.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Holubec 3–0 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Holubec
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1700 vs Kypr 1667
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 60% vs Kypr 20%
Holubec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 60% vs Kypr 30%
Holubec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec +1 · Kypr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.50 / Kypr 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Holubec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481089
Holubec1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 14 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Kypr2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 18 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back46% 10 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHolubec3wins
AwayKypr0wins
Holubec leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holubec2Kypr1n = 3Holubec took 2 of 3
S2Holubec2Kypr1n = 3Holubec took 2 of 3
S3Holubec3Kypr0n = 3Holubec took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHolubecKyprH − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.726.3+12.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 78 vs 45 / 8647.4%52.3%37 / 78 vs 45 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecHolubec 1.50/Kypr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec—11811113T. Kypr—811881
WAug 14 · 17:30J. Holubec—1111113T. Kypr—5660
WAug 14 · 14:30J. Holubec—91111113T. Kypr—113671
J. Holubec10
LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113WAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113LAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113
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