TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13004421
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711511––––
Tomas Kypr
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 58 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 64.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Holubec 3–0 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:10What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Holubec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Holubec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1700 vs Kypr 1667
Holubec
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 80% vs Kypr 60%
Holubec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 70% vs Kypr 50%
Holubec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec +4 · Kypr +2
Holubec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Holubec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.44 / Kypr 2.60
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Holubec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13004421
Holubec1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 14 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Kypr2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 18 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back46% 10 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHolubec3wins
AwayKypr0wins
Holubec leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holubec2Kypr1n = 3Holubec took 2 of 3
S2Holubec2Kypr1n = 3Holubec took 2 of 3
S3Holubec3Kypr0n = 3Holubec took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHolubecKyprH − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.726.3+12.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 78 vs 45 / 8647.4%52.3%37 / 78 vs 45 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecHolubec 1.44/Kypr 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.4%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec—11811113T. Kypr—811881
WAug 14 · 17:30J. Holubec—1111113T. Kypr—5660
WAug 14 · 14:30J. Holubec—91111113T. Kypr—113671
J. Holubec10
LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881WAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970LAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881LAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113
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