TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12435169
Played Aug 14Finished
Tomas Kypr
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Jiri Holubec
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 0–2 Jiri Holubec Tomas Kypr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:15What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kypr 1683 vs Holubec 1669
Kypr
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kypr 40% vs Holubec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kypr 70% vs Holubec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kypr +2 · Holubec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 1.91 / Holubec 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holubec)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12435169
Kypr1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 16 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back47% 9 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Holubec1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 11 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKypr0wins
AwayHolubec2wins
Holubec leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKyprHolubecK − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match22.037.5−15.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 79 vs 34 / 7553.2%45.3%42 / 79 vs 34 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecKypr 1.91/Holubec 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr—5660J. Holubec—1111113
LAug 14 · 14:30T. Kypr—113671J. Holubec—91111113
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113
J. Holubec10
LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.