David Heczko vs Richard Skacelik 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13048286

Played Aug 30Finished

David Heczko

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11910121141412––

Richard Skacelik

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Richard Skacelik below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 12-11

Point 80 set 4, 12-11

80 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H David Heczko 3–8 Richard Skacelik David Heczko has won 3 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHeczko 2.25 / Skacelik 1.57

Signal prob.40% / 61%

Edge (Skacelik)+1.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13048286

Heczko2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog50% won 53 of 107

Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29

Skacelik1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite57% won 69 of 122

Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it67% 48 of 72

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHeczko2wins

AwaySkacelik8wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHeczko40%2 of 5

AwaySkacelik100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Heczko5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly

S2Heczko2Skacelik8n = 10Skacelik took 8 of 10

S3Heczko3Skacelik7n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10

S4Heczko4Skacelik3n = 7Heczko took 4 of 7

S5Heczko0Skacelik3n = 3Skacelik took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricHeczkoSkacelikH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.840.4−4.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHeczkoSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 455 vs 202 / 42455.4%47.6%252 / 455 vs 202 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Skacelik

Heczko 2.25/Skacelik 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.5%

Skacelik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Heczko won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 30 · 15:00D. Heczko—391121R. Skacelik—11119113

WAug 20 · 13:30D. Heczko—14117113R. Skacelik—1271191

LAug 20 · 10:30D. Heczko—11541122R. Skacelik—511117113

LAug 17 · 18:00D. Heczko—11791172R. Skacelik—911117113

LJul 28 · 20:00D. Heczko—1211118122R. Skacelik—145711143

WJul 24 · 11:30D. Heczko—11911113R. Skacelik—811861

LJul 22 · 08:59D. Heczko—8790R. Skacelik—1111113

LJul 22 · 06:00D. Heczko—11151191R. Skacelik—51713113

LJul 2 · 07:30D. Heczko—8990R. Skacelik—1111113

LJun 24 · 09:28D. Heczko—4790R. Skacelik—1111113

D. Heczko10

LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113 LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112 WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113 LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113 LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113 WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113 LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071 WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971 WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572 WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850

R. Skacelik10

WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113 WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730 WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113 LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113 WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113 LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881 LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111 LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113 WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251 WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121

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