TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083069
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511811611––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 56.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 0–1 Richard Skacelik Jakub Levicky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:43What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1679 vs Skacelik 1597
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 100% vs Skacelik 20%
Levicky
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 70% vs Skacelik 30%
Levicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +5 · Skacelik -1
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.25 / Skacelik 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Skacelik)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13083069
Levicky2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 67 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Skacelik1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 69 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it67% 49 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLevicky0wins
AwaySkacelik1wins
Skacelik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLevickySkacelikL − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.043.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickySkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 875 vs 203 / 43050.6%47.2%443 / 875 vs 203 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikLevicky 2.25/Skacelik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 7 · 18:00J. Levicky—312661R. Skacelik—111011113
J. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482WSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121
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