TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071627
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1131210311811119
Lukas Velicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 10–7 Lukas Velicka Lukas Velicka has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Levicky
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1637 vs Velicka 1619
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 60% vs Velicka 80%
Velicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 60% vs Velicka 90%
Velicka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +2 · Velicka +3
Velicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.73 / Velicka 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Levicky)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071627
Levicky1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 96 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 69 of 88
Velicka2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 26 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky7wins
AwayVelicka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky83.3%5 of 6
AwayVelicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky6Velicka4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Levicky5Velicka5n = 10split evenly
S3Levicky6Velicka4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Levicky3Velicka4n = 7Velicka took 4 of 7
S5Levicky3Velicka1n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyVelickaL − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.5+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 880 vs 103 / 19250.5%53.7%444 / 880 vs 103 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.73/Velicka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 18:30J. Levicky—911117113L. Velicka—11561192
WAug 9 · 21:30J. Levicky—1111113L. Velicka—5870
LAug 9 · 20:00J. Levicky—91570L. Velicka—1117113
LJul 27 · 21:28J. Levicky—7770L. Velicka—1111113
LJul 27 · 18:00J. Levicky—136116112L. Velicka—1111711133
WJul 22 · 21:30J. Levicky—111169133L. Velicka—791111112
WJul 22 · 18:30J. Levicky—157119113L. Velicka—131191192
WJul 16 · 19:30J. Levicky—11128113L. Velicka—6101151
WJul 12 · 20:00J. Levicky—111011113L. Velicka—812471
WJun 14 · 21:00J. Levicky—71311113L. Velicka—1111741
J. Levicky10
WSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101
L. Velicka10
LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981LSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.91591111102L. Velicka1.80111167123WAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
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