TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13067252
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012119118––
Tomas Milota
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Velicka to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Velicka at 57.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velicka 8–5 Tomas Milota Tomas Milota has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Velicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Velicka
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Velicka 1549 vs Milota 1518
Velicka
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Velicka 80% vs Milota 60%
Velicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Velicka 80% vs Milota 60%
Velicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Velicka -1 · Milota +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Velicka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milota form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 1.60 / Milota 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Velicka)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13067252
Velicka1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 39 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 22 of 31
Milota2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVelicka5wins
AwayMilota5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelicka60%3 of 5
AwayMilota60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velicka5Milota5n = 10split evenly
S2Velicka6Milota4n = 10Velicka took 6 of 10
S3Velicka6Milota4n = 10Velicka took 6 of 10
S4Velicka6Milota3n = 9Velicka took 6 of 9
S5Velicka0Milota3n = 3Milota took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVelickaMilotaV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.1+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 189 vs 130 / 28352.9%45.9%100 / 189 vs 130 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelickaVelicka 1.60/Milota 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Velicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Velicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 20:30L. Velicka—891161T. Milota—11119113
LAug 27 · 18:00L. Velicka—118111092T. Milota—911812113
WJul 27 · 20:30L. Velicka—61111113T. Milota—115261
WJul 16 · 20:58L. Velicka—101111113T. Milota—129861
LJul 16 · 20:30L. Velicka—114751T. Milota—81111113
LJul 13 · 21:30L. Velicka—83111282T. Milota—1111610113
WJul 13 · 18:00L. Velicka—12118123T. Milota—10911101
LMay 14 · 18:30L. Velicka—61121152T. Milota—118117113
WApr 28 · 21:30L. Velicka—111111113T. Milota—591381
WApr 28 · 18:30L. Velicka—1111113T. Milota—2770
L. Velicka10
LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152LSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.91591111102L. Velicka1.80111167123WAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671
Upcoming Matches
L. Velicka
T. Milota
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