TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060251
Played Sep 2Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116811811115116
Jakub Levicky
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 59.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 18–22 Jakub Levicky Tomas Milota has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-22 in 40
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1490 vs Levicky 1599
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 60% vs Levicky 80%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 50% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota -2 · Levicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 2.25 / Levicky 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Levicky)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060251
Milota2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Levicky1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 99 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 71 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilota4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota80%4 of 5
AwayLevicky100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Milota3Levicky7n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S3Milota4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Milota2Levicky4n = 6Levicky took 4 of 6
S5Milota3Levicky2n = 5Milota took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilotaLevickyM − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.9−2.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 281 vs 448 / 88245.6%50.8%128 / 281 vs 448 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyMilota 2.25/Levicky 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Milota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota—6650J. Levicky—1111113
WAug 31 · 20:30T. Milota—1181011113J. Levicky—91112522
WJul 29 · 18:30T. Milota—179119133J. Levicky—1511711112
LJul 27 · 19:30T. Milota—66111482J. Levicky—1111612113
LJul 16 · 18:00T. Milota—10980J. Levicky—1211113
LJun 24 · 21:00T. Milota—11119272J. Levicky—681111113
LJun 24 · 18:00T. Milota—691291J. Levicky—111110113
WJun 15 · 07:00T. Milota—1111105113J. Levicky—59121172
LMay 12 · 20:30T. Milota—7590J. Levicky—1111113
WMay 11 · 08:58T. Milota—1111113J. Levicky—8480
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671
J. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101WAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113LAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113
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