TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047561
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611116117––
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 55.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 9–12 Dominik Oborny Tomas Milota has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Oborny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Oborny
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1488 vs Oborny 1654
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 60% vs Oborny 80%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 50% vs Oborny 70%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota +1 · Oborny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 2.00 / Oborny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oborny)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047561
Milota2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Oborny1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 101 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilota5wins
AwayOborny5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota66.7%2 of 3
AwayOborny57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota3Oborny7n = 10Oborny took 7 of 10
S2Milota5Oborny5n = 10split evenly
S3Milota7Oborny3n = 10Milota took 7 of 10
S4Milota5Oborny5n = 10split evenly
S5Milota3Oborny3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilotaObornyM − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 281 vs 315 / 60646.3%52%130 / 281 vs 315 / 606Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyMilota 2.00/Oborny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Milota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 19:00T. Milota—661171D. Oborny—11119113
LJul 21 · 18:30T. Milota—3131061D. Oborny—111112113
LJun 24 · 19:00T. Milota—11311492D. Oborny—911311113
WMay 14 · 20:30T. Milota—1111110113D. Oborny—61181282
WMay 13 · 19:00T. Milota—61111113D. Oborny—119691
LMay 12 · 19:00T. Milota—79111142D. Oborny—111188113
WApr 28 · 19:00T. Milota—13813113D. Oborny—11111181
WMar 23 · 09:00T. Milota—511711113D. Oborny—11711382
LMar 9 · 09:00T. Milota—81161182D. Oborny—116110113
WFeb 13 · 10:00T. Milota—1011118113D. Oborny—12851182
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny1.80117119102J. Levicky1.91711911123WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny1.801111113M. Heczko1.805590
Upcoming Matches
T. Milota
Nothing scheduled
D. Oborny
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