TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059985
Played Sep 2Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119911116––
Lukas Velicka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Velicka to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Velicka at 62.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 4–8 Lukas Velicka Tomas Milota has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Velicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Velicka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1504 vs Velicka 1562
Velicka
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 60% vs Velicka 100%
Velicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 60% vs Velicka 80%
Velicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota +1 · Velicka +5
Velicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Velicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 2.38 / Velicka 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Velicka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059985
Milota2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Velicka1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 39 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 22 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilota4wins
AwayVelicka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVelicka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota40%2 of 5
AwayVelicka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota5Velicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Milota3Velicka7n = 10Velicka took 7 of 10
S3Milota5Velicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Milota2Velicka7n = 9Velicka took 7 of 9
S5Milota3Velicka1n = 4Milota took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilotaVelickaM − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.6−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 282 vs 100 / 18845.7%53.2%129 / 282 vs 100 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelickaMilota 2.38/Velicka 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Velicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Milota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 18:00T. Milota—911812113L. Velicka—118111092
LJul 27 · 20:30T. Milota—115261L. Velicka—61111113
LJul 16 · 20:58T. Milota—129861L. Velicka—101111113
WJul 16 · 20:30T. Milota—81111113L. Velicka—114751
WJul 13 · 21:30T. Milota—1111610113L. Velicka—83111282
LJul 13 · 18:00T. Milota—10911101L. Velicka—12118123
WMay 14 · 18:30T. Milota—118117113L. Velicka—61121152
LApr 28 · 21:30T. Milota—591381L. Velicka—111111113
LApr 28 · 18:30T. Milota—2770L. Velicka—1111113
LOct 23 · 07:30T. Milota—119115112L. Velicka—811811133
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671
L. Velicka10
LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.91591111102L. Velicka1.80111167123WAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
Upcoming Matches
T. Milota
Nothing scheduled
L. Velicka
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