TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058191
Played Sep 2Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117119––––
Tomas Milota
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Milota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Milota at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 12–10 Tomas Milota Tomas Milota has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:43What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oborny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Oborny
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1631 vs Milota 1508
Oborny
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 40% vs Milota 60%
Milota
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 70% vs Milota 50%
Oborny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +1 · Milota -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.80 / Milota 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oborny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058191
Oborny1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 102 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 88 of 105
Milota1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny5wins
AwayMilota5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny66.7%4 of 6
AwayMilota75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny6Milota4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S2Oborny6Milota4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S3Oborny3Milota7n = 10Milota took 7 of 10
S4Oborny4Milota6n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S5Oborny3Milota2n = 5Oborny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyMilotaO − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.8+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 609 vs 128 / 28051.9%45.7%316 / 609 vs 128 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyOborny 1.80/Milota 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 19:30D. Oborny—711671T. Milota—11611113
WJul 26 · 19:00D. Oborny—11119113T. Milota—661171
WJul 21 · 18:30D. Oborny—111112113T. Milota—3131061
WJun 24 · 19:00D. Oborny—911311113T. Milota—11311492
LMay 14 · 20:30D. Oborny—61181282T. Milota—1111110113
LMay 13 · 19:00D. Oborny—119691T. Milota—61111113
WMay 12 · 19:00D. Oborny—111188113T. Milota—79111142
LApr 28 · 19:00D. Oborny—11111181T. Milota—13813113
LMar 23 · 09:00D. Oborny—11711382T. Milota—511711113
WMar 9 · 09:00D. Oborny—116110113T. Milota—81161182
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133LAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny1.80117119102J. Levicky1.91711911123WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny1.801111113M. Heczko1.805590
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671
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