TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070681
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11711910121210––
Tomas Milota
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Milota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Milota at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 22–19 Tomas Milota Tomas Milota has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:58What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-19 in 41
Levicky
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1590 vs Milota 1507
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Milota 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 50% vs Milota 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Milota -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Levicky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.61 / Milota 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Levicky)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070681
Levicky1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 96 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 69 of 88
Milota2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back27% 11 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky6wins
AwayMilota4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky100%5 of 5
AwayMilota80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky5Milota5n = 10split evenly
S2Levicky8Milota2n = 10Levicky took 8 of 10
S3Levicky7Milota3n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S4Levicky4Milota3n = 7Levicky took 4 of 7
S5Levicky2Milota4n = 6Milota took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyMilotaL − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.3+2.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 886 vs 130 / 28450.7%45.8%449 / 886 vs 130 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.61/Milota 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 19:00J. Levicky—61111562T. Milota—118811113
WAug 31 · 21:30J. Levicky—1111113T. Milota—6650
LAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky—91112522T. Milota—1181011113
LJul 29 · 18:30J. Levicky—1511711112T. Milota—179119133
WJul 27 · 19:30J. Levicky—1111612113T. Milota—66111482
WJul 16 · 18:00J. Levicky—1211113T. Milota—10980
WJun 24 · 21:00J. Levicky—681111113T. Milota—11119272
WJun 24 · 18:00J. Levicky—111110113T. Milota—691291
LJun 15 · 07:00J. Levicky—59121172T. Milota—1111105113
WMay 12 · 20:30J. Levicky—1111113T. Milota—7590
J. Levicky10
WSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113
T. Milota10
LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113WAug 31 · 20:30J. Levicky1.5791112522T. Milota2.251181011113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671
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