TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13055493
Played Aug 31Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711811119119511
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11
93 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 43–50 Dominik Oborny Marcel Heczko has won 43 of their 93 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.00 / Oborny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oborny)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13055493
Heczko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 66 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Oborny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 101 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko5wins
AwayOborny5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko100%4 of 4
AwayOborny83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S2Heczko6Oborny4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S3Heczko6Oborny4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko3Oborny4n = 7Oborny took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoObornyH − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.736.4+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 571 vs 315 / 60848.2%51.8%275 / 571 vs 315 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyHeczko 2.00/Oborny 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:00M. Heczko—1113133D. Oborny—411110
LAug 30 · 17:30M. Heczko—5590D. Oborny—1111113
LAug 30 · 14:00M. Heczko—971181D. Oborny—11116113
WAug 22 · 07:30M. Heczko—116119113D. Oborny—81141122
LAug 19 · 20:59M. Heczko—1311691D. Oborny—15711113
LAug 19 · 20:30M. Heczko—912111382D. Oborny—1114911113
WAug 19 · 15:00M. Heczko—1111143D. Oborny—66120
LAug 18 · 21:04M. Heczko—311971D. Oborny—11911113
WAug 18 · 18:00M. Heczko—41111133D. Oborny—1189111
WAug 11 · 08:58M. Heczko—11118113D. Oborny—361151
M. Heczko10
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133LAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny1.80117119102J. Levicky1.91711911123WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny1.801111113M. Heczko1.805590
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