TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065134
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Volny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161012118511811
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Volny above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Marek Volny 8–15 Marcel Heczko Marek Volny has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Heczko
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1644 vs Heczko 1587
Volny
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 60% vs Heczko 20%
Volny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 60% vs Heczko 40%
Volny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +1 · Heczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 2.00 / Heczko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065134
Volny2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 25 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Heczko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 75 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 54 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny4wins
AwayHeczko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny50%3 of 6
AwayHeczko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny6Heczko4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S2Volny7Heczko3n = 10Volny took 7 of 10
S3Volny3Heczko7n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S4Volny1Heczko8n = 9Heczko took 8 of 9
S5Volny3Heczko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyHeczkoV − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.443.3−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 174 vs 275 / 57254%48.1%94 / 174 vs 275 / 572Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoVolny 2.00/Heczko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 19:00M. Volny—111179113M. Heczko—881111102
LAug 15 · 21:30M. Volny—11139982M. Heczko—8111111113
LAug 15 · 19:00M. Volny—1371101M. Heczko—111111123
LAug 6 · 21:30M. Volny—511841M. Heczko—11511113
WAug 6 · 19:30M. Volny—711117113M. Heczko—11471192
LAug 2 · 18:30M. Volny—11911752M. Heczko—811511113
WJul 26 · 17:30M. Volny—11133113M. Heczko—9111151
LJul 26 · 16:30M. Volny—7720M. Heczko—1111113
LJul 22 · 20:58M. Volny—81112652M. Heczko—1181011113
WJul 22 · 18:00M. Volny—1111107113M. Heczko—58121162
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LAug 18 · 20:00D. Oborny2.501111143M. Volny1.5078120WAug 18 · 19:00M. Heczko1.73881111102M. Volny2.00111179113
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110LAug 18 · 19:00M. Heczko1.73881111102M. Volny2.00111179113
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