TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12450033
Played Aug 18Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8118111171191011
Marek Volny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Marek Volny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 15–7 Marek Volny Marek Volny has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Heczko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1559 vs Volny 1639
Volny
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 80% vs Volny 60%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 50% vs Volny 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +3 · Volny -1
Heczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.73 / Volny 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Heczko)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12450033
Heczko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 72 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Volny2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 25 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko6wins
AwayVolny4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko60%3 of 5
AwayVolny40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko5Volny5n = 10split evenly
S2Heczko3Volny7n = 10Volny took 7 of 10
S3Heczko6Volny4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko8Volny1n = 9Heczko took 8 of 9
S5Heczko3Volny3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoVolnyH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.939.5+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 567 vs 91 / 16948%53.9%272 / 567 vs 91 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.73/Volny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 21:30M. Heczko—8111111113M. Volny—11139982
WAug 15 · 19:00M. Heczko—111111123M. Volny—1371101
WAug 6 · 21:30M. Heczko—11511113M. Volny—511841
LAug 6 · 19:30M. Heczko—11471192M. Volny—711117113
WAug 2 · 18:30M. Heczko—811511113M. Volny—11911752
LJul 26 · 17:30M. Heczko—9111151M. Volny—11133113
WJul 26 · 16:30M. Heczko—1111113M. Volny—7720
WJul 22 · 20:58M. Heczko—1181011113M. Volny—81112652
LJul 22 · 18:00M. Heczko—58121162M. Volny—1111107113
LJul 19 · 19:00M. Heczko—11791162M. Volny—911118113
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LAug 18 · 20:00D. Oborny2.501111143M. Volny1.5078120
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