TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087437
Played Sep 7Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116611119––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 51–43 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 43 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oborny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-43 in 94
Oborny
Correct
gap of 8 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1620 vs Heczko 1608
Oborny
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 40% vs Heczko 80%
Heczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 40% vs Heczko 60%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +1 · Heczko +4
Heczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.80 / Heczko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oborny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087437
Oborny1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 103 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it83% 89 of 107
Heczko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 65 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny6wins
AwayHeczko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOborny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny85.7%6 of 7
AwayHeczko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny7Heczko3n = 10Oborny took 7 of 10
S2Oborny5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Oborny3Heczko7n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S4Oborny4Heczko3n = 7Oborny took 4 of 7
S5Oborny2Heczko1n = 3Oborny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyHeczkoO − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.8+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 612 vs 278 / 57951.6%48%316 / 612 vs 278 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyOborny 1.80/Heczko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:58D. Oborny—111199113M. Heczko—78111152
LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny—411110M. Heczko—1113133
WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny—1111113M. Heczko—5590
WAug 30 · 14:00D. Oborny—11116113M. Heczko—971181
LAug 22 · 07:30D. Oborny—81141122M. Heczko—116119113
WAug 19 · 20:59D. Oborny—15711113M. Heczko—1311691
WAug 19 · 20:30D. Oborny—1114911113M. Heczko—912111382
LAug 19 · 15:00D. Oborny—66120M. Heczko—1111143
WAug 18 · 21:04D. Oborny—11911113M. Heczko—311971
LAug 18 · 18:00D. Oborny—1189111M. Heczko—41111133
D. Oborny10
LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102
M. Heczko10
LSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272WSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892
Upcoming Matches
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M. Heczko
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