TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092473
Played Sep 8Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711118711––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 53–43 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 43 of their 96 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oborny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-43 in 96
Oborny
Wrong
gap of 10 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1640 vs Heczko 1561
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 80% vs Heczko 20%
Oborny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 60% vs Heczko 40%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny -1 · Heczko -4
Heczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.80 / Heczko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oborny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092473
Oborny1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 106 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it84% 92 of 110
Heczko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny7wins
AwayHeczko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOborny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny100%7 of 7
AwayHeczko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny7Heczko3n = 10Oborny took 7 of 10
S2Oborny6Heczko4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S3Oborny2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S4Oborny5Heczko2n = 7Oborny took 5 of 7
S5Oborny3Heczko1n = 4Oborny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyHeczkoO − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.2+0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 616 vs 277 / 58251.8%47.6%319 / 616 vs 277 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyOborny 1.80/Heczko 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny—116911113M. Heczko—91111892
WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny—11116113M. Heczko—961191
WAug 31 · 20:58D. Oborny—111199113M. Heczko—78111152
LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny—411110M. Heczko—1113133
WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny—1111113M. Heczko—5590
WAug 30 · 14:00D. Oborny—11116113M. Heczko—971181
LAug 22 · 07:30D. Oborny—81141122M. Heczko—116119113
WAug 19 · 20:59D. Oborny—15711113M. Heczko—1311691
WAug 19 · 20:30D. Oborny—1114911113M. Heczko—912111382
LAug 19 · 15:00D. Oborny—66120M. Heczko—1111143
D. Oborny10
LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102
M. Heczko10
WSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891
Upcoming Matches
D. Oborny
Nothing scheduled
M. Heczko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.