TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091742
Played Sep 8Finished
Petr Danko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214118811811––
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Danko above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 58.4%
83 points played in total.
H2H Petr Danko 4–8 Dominik Oborny Petr Danko has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Oborny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Oborny
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danko 1643 vs Oborny 1640
Danko
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danko 60% vs Oborny 80%
Oborny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danko 50% vs Oborny 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danko +3 · Oborny +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanko 1.83 / Oborny 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oborny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091742
Danko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Oborny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanko3wins
AwayOborny7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOborny leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanko40%2 of 5
AwayOborny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danko5Oborny5n = 10split evenly
S2Danko4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S3Danko4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S4Danko2Oborny4n = 6Oborny took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDankoObornyD − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.837.6−3.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDankoObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 210 vs 319 / 61650.5%51.8%106 / 210 vs 319 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyDanko 1.83/Oborny 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko—1211881D. Oborny—14811113
LJul 16 · 07:00P. Danko—112641D. Oborny—71111113
WMay 19 · 08:30P. Danko—1111113D. Oborny—9640
LMay 8 · 09:30P. Danko—128811102D. Oborny—1011115123
LMay 8 · 08:00P. Danko—9380D. Oborny—1111113
LMay 5 · 09:30P. Danko—571581D. Oborny—111113113
LMay 5 · 08:00P. Danko—91350D. Oborny—1115113
WFeb 13 · 08:30P. Danko—51111113D. Oborny—115741
WJan 14 · 09:00P. Danko—1511113D. Oborny—13990
LDec 3 · 10:30P. Danko—192881D. Oborny—171111113
P. Danko10
WSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko2.5051090S. Byrtus1.501112113WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132WAug 21 · 09:30J. Schwan1.739119101P. Danko2.0011411123
D. Oborny10
LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113
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