TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092472
Played Sep 8Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119711116611
Petr Danko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timePetr Danko to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Petr Danko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr Danko at 63.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 5–13 Petr Danko Marcel Heczko has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Danko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Danko
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1561 vs Danko 1664
Danko
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Danko 60%
Danko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Danko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -3 · Danko -1
Heczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Danko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.50 / Danko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Danko)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092472
Heczko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Danko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 26 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko2wins
AwayDanko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDanko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko66.7%2 of 3
AwayDanko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko3Danko7n = 10Danko took 7 of 10
S2Heczko4Danko6n = 10Danko took 6 of 10
S3Heczko2Danko8n = 10Danko took 8 of 10
S4Heczko5Danko2n = 7Heczko took 5 of 7
S5Heczko0Danko3n = 3Danko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoDankoH − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.939.4−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoDankoBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 582 vs 108 / 21247.6%50.9%277 / 582 vs 108 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DankoHeczko 2.50/Danko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Danko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko—61171162P. Danko—119116113
LSep 3 · 13:29M. Heczko—91181192P. Danko—118119113
LSep 3 · 12:00M. Heczko—69110P. Danko—1111133
LJul 16 · 06:30M. Heczko—81261122P. Danko—1110115113
WJun 16 · 14:30M. Heczko—11711113P. Danko—711951
LMay 19 · 12:30M. Heczko—119391P. Danko—81111113
WApr 9 · 09:00M. Heczko—11136113P. Danko—4111191
LApr 9 · 06:00M. Heczko—82100P. Danko—1111123
LApr 8 · 12:00M. Heczko—51090P. Danko—1112113
LFeb 11 · 13:30M. Heczko—481151P. Danko—11114113
M. Heczko10
WSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113
P. Danko10
WSep 8 · 08:00P. Danko1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75711891LSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko2.5051090S. Byrtus1.501112113WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132
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