TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091743
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811119511118
Marcel Heczko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 48–40 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 40 of their 88 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-40 in 88
Levicky
Correct
gap of 8 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1690 vs Heczko 1561
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 80% vs Heczko 60%
Levicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 60% vs Heczko 40%
Levicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Heczko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Levicky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.67 / Heczko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Levicky)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091743
Levicky1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it80% 73 of 91
Heczko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky5wins
AwayHeczko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky83.3%5 of 6
AwayHeczko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky6Heczko4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Levicky6Heczko4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Levicky4Heczko6n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Levicky2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S5Levicky3Heczko1n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyHeczkoL − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.543.6−2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 884 vs 277 / 58150.7%47.7%448 / 884 vs 277 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.67/Heczko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky—118115113M. Heczko—81191182
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky—4111081M. Heczko—11912113
WAug 31 · 19:00J. Levicky—1111107113M. Heczko—67121192
LAug 19 · 16:30J. Levicky—1112461M. Heczko—51411113
WAug 18 · 20:30J. Levicky—161111143M. Heczko—14913121
WAug 6 · 20:30J. Levicky—11119123M. Heczko—5711101
LAug 2 · 20:30J. Levicky—91111782M. Heczko—117511113
WJul 31 · 21:28J. Levicky—119125113M. Heczko—911101172
LJul 31 · 20:00J. Levicky—8121101M. Heczko—111011123
LJul 29 · 21:00J. Levicky—851191M. Heczko—11119113
J. Levicky10
WSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113LSep 7 · 17:28J. Levicky1.8341211962R. Vavrecka1.831110811113WSep 7 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.731213471J. Levicky2.00101511113WSep 7 · 15:00L. Velicka2.00771181J. Levicky1.7311119113WSep 7 · 14:30J. Levicky1.531111113O. Hradil2.389660WSep 7 · 08:58J. Levicky2.00913137113A. Rinka1.731111111182WSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080
M. Heczko10
LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192
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