TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087367
Played Sep 7Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711119811––
Jakub Levicky
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 55.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velicka 8–12 Jakub Levicky Lukas Velicka has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Levicky
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Velicka 1561 vs Levicky 1667
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Velicka 40% vs Levicky 60%
Levicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Velicka 60% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Velicka -3 · Levicky +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 2.00 / Levicky 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Levicky)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087367
Velicka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Levicky1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 98 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it80% 71 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVelicka4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelicka75%3 of 4
AwayLevicky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velicka4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Velicka5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S3Velicka4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Velicka6Levicky0n = 6Velicka took 6 of 6
S5Velicka1Levicky4n = 5Levicky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVelickaLevickyV − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.9+0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 195 vs 447 / 88352.8%50.6%103 / 195 vs 447 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyVelicka 2.00/Levicky 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:28L. Velicka—5790J. Levicky—1111113
LSep 4 · 20:00L. Velicka—310111192J. Levicky—111238113
WSep 2 · 18:30L. Velicka—11115113J. Levicky—641161
LAug 10 · 18:30L. Velicka—11561192J. Levicky—911117113
LAug 9 · 21:30L. Velicka—5870J. Levicky—1111113
WAug 9 · 20:00L. Velicka—1117113J. Levicky—91570
WJul 27 · 21:28L. Velicka—1111113J. Levicky—7770
WJul 27 · 18:00L. Velicka—1111711133J. Levicky—136116112
LJul 22 · 21:30L. Velicka—791111112J. Levicky—111169133
LJul 22 · 18:30L. Velicka—131191192J. Levicky—157119113
L. Velicka10
LSep 7 · 14:00R. Vavrecka1.911011411113L. Velicka1.8012311862LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981LSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082
J. Levicky10
WSep 7 · 14:30J. Levicky1.531111113O. Hradil2.389660WSep 7 · 08:58J. Levicky2.00913137113A. Rinka1.731111111182WSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192LSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113
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