TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087041
Played Sep 7Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012113411118116
Lukas Velicka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Velicka to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Velicka at 58.7%
87 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Velicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1462 vs Velicka 1589
Velicka
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 40% vs Velicka 60%
Velicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 30% vs Velicka 70%
Velicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -2 · Velicka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Velicka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.91 / Velicka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Velicka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087041
Vavrecka1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 45 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Velicka1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 42 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 269 vs 103 / 19451.3%53.1%138 / 269 vs 103 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelickaVavrecka 1.91/Velicka 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Velicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vavrecka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113
L. Velicka10
LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981LSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:30J. Levicky1.44641161L. Velicka2.6311115113WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.91591111102L. Velicka1.80111167123
Upcoming Matches
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